The stars have started arriving at the 81st Academy Awards and the anticipation is building! The whole oh Hollywood will be turning out for the most prestigious night in the motion picture calender. Even the child stars from Slumdog Millionaire have been flown over to enjoy the evening! And what an evening it will be! The Brad Pitt helmed vehicle The Curious Case of Benjamin Button leads the field with 13 nominations, closely followed by Slumdog which is nominated for 10 awards, and Dark Knight which is up for 8. Other films which are hoping to win big tonight include Milk, Doubt, The Reader, the Wrestler, Wall-E and Revolutionary Road.
As I have said earlier, my full list of predictions is saved onto another computer which I can't access at the minute, but I will predict the winners here and now of the big awards and some of the smaller awards of which I can remember!
First of all, I think that Slumdog Millionare will win Best Film. I don't necessarily think that it should win because I enjoyed Button much more - I feel that the hype however will ensure that the academy votes in favour of the smaller film which has steadily gained more media attention over the past few months. I feel that David Fincher will win Best Director to ensure that Button doesn't go home empty handed! It would be silly to vote for anyone else other than Mickey Rourke and Heath Ledger for the Best Actor and Supporting Actor. The academy loves comeback stories and Mickey Rourke personifies this completely! There would be a huge backlash if Heath didn't win - hes won every other supporting actor award in the awards season so far so I reckon that it is a dead cert he'l win. the actress categories are slightly more open I feel. I still think Kate will win Best Actress for her role in the Reader, but I just feel that its silly that her role in Revolutionary Road has been overlooked. I still can't understand either why Cate Blanchett hasn't been nominated for her role in Benjamin Button! The Supporting Actress category is quite open I feel, but expect Penelope Cruz to win on the momentum of her BAFTA win a few weeks ago.
I think that of the smaller awards most are quite open. Expect Slumdog to win best screenplay and cinematography, but button to win best visual effects. I reckon The Duchess will win a few awards for costume and scenery. I feel that the smaller awards will be split evenly between Button and Slumdog, and believe that Doubt, milk and Frost/Nixon will go home empty handed. Whilst I feel that these films are probably very good (iv seen only Frost/Nixon, which I loved), I also feel that they haven't really been very commercially sucessful and feel that this will go against it at the Oscars!
it will be a very good night, but I dont necessarily think that all of the winners will be the ones who deserve the awards! It seems to me that there are alot of background politics in Hollywood (wow, theres a suprise) and films that win big do so on the fact that they are build on a media bandwagon. At the end of the day I feel that it is just one big popularity contest, but that I supose is one of the reasons why I love it so much! Long may it continue, and congratulations to all nominees!
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